Derby Dead Pool 2004: Inane analysis

Putting the 'anal' into analysis...





 - most popular

 - by profession

 - by age

 - by birthplace

Random observations


There are 43 teams this year, who between them have picked a total of 395 celebs.  We're encouraged to note that:

(a) This is a significant increase on last year's competition, in which 24 players chose 246 coffin-dodgers.

(b) b.

(c) Just over half of these 43 teams are new to the DDP, so our appeal for more people to join us in order to make it worth our while continuing to run this show clearly didn't fall on deaf ears.

Although there weren’t many participants in '03, they managed a wider spread of nominations, with an average of 10.25 unique picks per team, compared to 9.21 this year.  This suggests that the 2004 players have adopted a more conservative strategy of homing in on the celebs who are most likely to die, rather than going for risky wildcards. 

Even so, 64% of this year's celebs are unique picks.  This may result in the situation we saw last year, with a lot of jockeying for position, and a death often meaning that a particular team jumps several places on the scoreboard.  In 2003, this didn’t make too much of a difference, due to Otis’s dominant and sustained lead, but who knows what might happen this year?


This year's most popular picks are as follows:


this year


last year



of teams


of jokers

1st 1st Ronald Reagan 29 3
2nd 2nd= Pope John Paul II 28 5
3rd 10th= Margaret Thatcher 16 0
4th 10th= Sir John Mills 15 0
5th= 23rd= Edward Heath 13 0
5th= 8th= George Best 13 3
7th 4th Zsa Zsa Gabor 12 0
8th 6th= Ronnie Biggs 11 2
9th= 54th= Kirk Douglas 10 0
9th= 34th= Princess Alice 10 1
9th= 34th= Michael Foot 10 0


There are no real surprises here.  The first two places remain unchanged, and a number of perennial favourites make their way up the board as they get another year older.  A few comments spring to mind though:

The breakdown of celebs by profession (we use the term loosely) reveals that the screen, both big and small, is dominant.  Politicians, musicians, and, perhaps surprisingly, sports stars are the other main categories of potential stiffs, while lawyers, as ever, languish at the bottom of the popularity league.



of celebs


Films 75 19.0%
Television/radio 66 16.7%
Politics 54 13.7%
Music 47 11.9%
Sport 35 8.9%
Theatre/stage 18 4.6%
Royalty/nobility 13 3.3%
Business 10 2.5%
Literature 10 2.5%
Celeb family/partner 9 2.3%
Crime 9 2.3%
Science/academia 6 1.5%
Military 6 1.5%
Art 5 1.3%
Philanthropy 4 1.0%
Religion 4 1.0%
Terrorism 4 1.0%
Exploration/travel 3 0.8%
Media 3 0.8%
Law 2 0.5%
Other 12 3.0%


 The breakdown by age (as at 1st January 2004) looks as follows.  The spread of ages (from 19-year-old Delta Goodrem to 114-year-olds Charlotte Benkner and Joan Riudavets Moll) isn't quite as wide this year as it was last time, if only because the 3 oldest people in the world all died in 2003, and no-one was sick enough this time round to pick a certain 7-year-old leukaemia sufferer...


Age bracket


of celebs


Under 30 6 1.5%
30-39 12 3.0%
40-49 14 3.5%
50-59 48 12.2%
60-69 59 14.9%
70-79 94 23.8%
80-89 96 24.3%
90-99 46 11.6%
100+ 9 2.3%
Unknown 11 2.8%


...and, totally unsurprisingly, when we analyse the 48 different countries in which the chosen celebs were born (taking the modern names of the countries where these have since changed), we find the US & England way ahead at the top of the list:




of celebs


USA 143 36.2%
England 122 30.9%
Scotland 10 2.5%
France 9 2.3%
Canada 7 1.8%
Germany 7 1.8%
Australia 6 1.5%
Northern Ireland 4 1.0%
Egypt, India, Italy, Republic of Ireland, Russia 3 each 0.8%
Czech Republic, Hungary, Iraq, New Zealand, Poland, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Sudan, Sweden, Wales 2 each 0.5%
25 other countries 1 each 0.3%
Unknown 27 6.8%


Random observations


Inequality of the sexes

Despite women outnumbering men in the world's population as a whole, only 87 of the 395 chosen celebs (22%) are female.


Keeping it in the family

Even more married couples feature in the list than last year.  Ronald & Nancy Reagan (with Ronnie's ex-wife Jane Wyman lurking in the background like a gooseberry), the Queen & Prince Philip, and Princess Juliana & Prince Bernhard of the Netherlands all featured in DDP2003.  This year we also get Ozzy & Sharon Osbourne, Sir John & Lady Mary Mills, and the Duke & Duchess of Devonshire.  Tony Curtis & Janet Leigh get an honourable mention for being ex-husband and wife.

Margaret Thatcher and Delores Hope are surviving halves of last year’s couples who make it back onto the list.

We've also got brothers, with George W and Jeb Bush appearing alongside their father, proving that blood is indeed thicker than water.  Another father/son combination appears in the form of Kirk and Michael Douglas, and then there's Tony Booth and his son-in-law Tony Blair, not to mention Clive Dunn and his cousin Gretchen Franklin.


Who ate all the pies?

Well, Bernard Manning and Luciano Pavarotti did, for a start.  Other celebs whose appetites for food, booze and/or drugs aren't exactly conducive to longevity include George Best, Alex Higgins, Patricia Quinn, Shane MacGowan (hang on, there's an Irish theme emerging here...), Buster Bloodvessel, Larry Hagman, Brian Clough, Courtney Love, Lex Luger etc etc...


Leaders not into temptation…

As mentioned above, politics once again provides a plentiful source of would-be cadavers this year.  With the exceptions of Major, Carter and Clinton, all the living present and former Prime Ministers of the UK and Presidents of the US are represented - Bliar, Thatcher, Callaghan, Bush jnr, Bush snr and Ford.  John & Bill perhaps don’t appear because they’re still relatively young, but if that's the case, then the inclusion of Teflon Tony and Dubya may be an indication that, even in this day and age, we still think that assassination is a real possibility for those holding high office.  Certainly that appears to be the rationale behind the selection of foreign heads of state Chandrika Kumaratunga, Pervez Musharraf and Robert Mugabe.


Jailhouse Ruck

Our lack of confidence in the Prison Service’s ability to stop inmates from topping themselves, or indeed each other, is demonstrated by the inclusion of Ian Brady, Jane Andrews, Ian Huntley and Maxine Carr.  We shouldn’t be too smug, however, as Harold "Dr Death” Shipman wasn't chosen by anyone, but knotted his sheets together and gave himself a suspended sentence in January.  Pity - it would've been the first time we'd awarded the bonus point for suicide...

Former lags who have (thusfar) lived to tell the tale include Frankie Fraser, Nelson Mandela, Nick Leeson and Denis Hills.

Meanwhile, Michael Jackson and Michael Barrymore haven’t (yet) been convicted of anything, but they're both on suicide watch as far as some DDPers are concerned.


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